Journal of Physical Studies 17(4), Article 4801 [12 pages] (2013) DOI: https://doi.org/10.30970/jps.17.4801 THE MODELING OF MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS BY THE METHODS OF ECONOPHYSICS A. N. Vasilev1, A. V. Chalyi{1,2} 1Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Faculty of Physics, 60, Volodymyrska St., Kyiv, UA--01601, Ukraine 2O. O. Bogomolets National Medical University, 13, Shevchenko Blvd, Kyiv, UA--01601, Ukraine e-mail: {vasilev, avchal}@univ.kiev.ua

The methods of econophysics are used for the modeling of processes which are associated with the development of macroeconomic system. The influence of diverse modes of taxation (different types of fiscal policy) is investigated. The dependence of total the overall taxation income on the effective taxation rate (Laffer curve) is calculated. The models are considered for the prediction of gross domestic product (GDP) dynamics. The model is proposed (and its parameters are calculated basing on statistical data) that allows making short-term predictions for Ukraine's GDP dynamics.

PACS number(s): 89.65.Gh, 02.30.Hq, 89.75.Da, 89.90.+n

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